Polymarket - 2024 Presidential Election Predictions
WEB2024 Presidential Election Predictions. Trust markets, not presidential polls. Live and accurate forecasts by the world's largest prediction market.
The Oracle by Polymarket | Substack
WEBNews and insights from the world's largest prediction market. Click to read The Oracle by Polymarket, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers.
About - The Oracle by Polymarket
WEBThe Oracle will comb through the 1,000+ individual markets on Polymarket to find insights about the news you might have missed. It will look at how the political judgment of pundits and experts stacks up to the wisdom of traders from all around the world.
Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market
WEBPut your money where your mouth is on politics, sports, crypto, culture & more.
Welcome to The Oracle by Polymarket
WEBJul 29, 2024 · The Oracle will comb through the 1,000+ individual markets on Polymarket to find insights about the news you might have missed. It will look at how the political judgment of pundits and experts stacks up to the wisdom of traders from all around the world.
Welcome to Crazytown - The Oracle by Polymarket
WEBSep 16, 2024 · Cross-border missile and drone attacks between Israel and Lebanon have escalated in the past year, reaching a combined high of over 9,500, according to data from Al-Jazeera. On Sunday, a ballistic missile fired by the Houthis in …
The Oracle: Convention Bounce for Harris? - Polymarket
WEBAug 26, 2024 · One way to look at this is through the polling effect known as a “convention bounce,” which is marked by: A six-point (on average) polling shift towards a party after its convention. Bounce peaks 6-7 days from the start of …
Archive - The Oracle by Polymarket
WEBFull archive of all the posts from The Oracle by Polymarket.
A Recession? How Many Rate Cuts? - The Oracle by Polymarket
WEBAug 22, 2024 · Polymarket agrees and has the odds of a 25bp cut in September at 72%. Where it gets interesting and more unpredictable, is after the first rate cut. If the economic data starts to deteriorate quickly and unemployment continues to climb, the second or third rate cut could be bigger than the first.
Gradually, then Suddenly: The Definitive Account of the Biden …
WEBAug 1, 2024 · The Biden dropout market was launched on Polymarket on September 22, 2023, well before primary season kicked off. Between then and Biden’s eventual withdrawal, a total of $21,122,390 would flow into this market over the next ten months, making it the world’s largest single market on the topic
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